Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win ✓65% · @1.30
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Flamengo take on Atletico-MG on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estádio do Maracanã. Flamengo are 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Atletico-MG sit 7th on 50 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flamengo's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico-MG's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Atletico Torque 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Flamengo and 0.8 for Atletico-MG. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Flamengo to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Flamengo 1–0 Atletico-MG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamengo65%fair 1.55 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @5.00
Atletico-MG17%fair 5.84 · @8.50
2.63Expected goals
1.85Flamengo xG
0.78Atletico-MG xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Flamengo 1.9 – 0.8 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✓
65%
1.55
1.30
Double chance
Flamengo or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.50
–
Form
Flamengo – last 6
DWDWDW
23 Oct
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Bahia
3–0
W
16 Oct
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Fluminense
1–0
W
8 Oct
@ Santos
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs RB Bragantino
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico-MG – last 6
LWWWDW
21 Oct
@ Atletico Torque
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Coritiba
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Atletico Torque
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Santos
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Atletico Paranaense
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs RB Bragantino
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamengo and Atletico-MG.
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico-MG 17%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–0 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
