Serie A · Brazil · Neo Quimica ArenaCorinthians vs Vitoria prediction & analysis
Corinthians to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.6 – 0.8 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Corinthians hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for Vitoria.
Corinthians have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Vitoria have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Vitoria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 for Corinthians, 0.8 for Vitoria). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Corinthians have won 0, Vitoria have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Corinthians to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.68.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Corinthians to win ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | Corinthians or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians ✗ | 35% | 2.84 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 6.93 | – |
Form
Corinthians – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Palmeiras | 1–4 | L |
| 7 Oct | @ Internacional | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Fluminense | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Flamengo | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Sep | @ Estudiantes L.P. | 1–1 | D |
Vitoria – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Sao Paulo | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Chapecoense-sc | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Cruzeiro | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Mirassol | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Gremio | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs Vasco DA Gama | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 19 Apr 2026 | Vitoria v Corinthians | 0–0 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Vitoria?
Our pick is Corinthians to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Corinthians vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vitoria 20%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Corinthians vs Vitoria?
Corinthians vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.