Serie A · Brazil · Estádio Beira RioInternacional vs Corinthians prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Corinthians to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Internacional 1.2 – 1.0 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Internacional hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Corinthians.
Internacional have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Corinthians have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Internacional, 1.0 for Corinthians). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 3 meetings, Internacional have won 2, Corinthians have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.98. For a bigger price, Corinthians to win at 3.20 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Internacional to win ✓ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Internacional / FT Internacional ✓ | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.84 | – |
Form
Internacional – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Sao Paulo | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Chapecoense-sc | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Santos | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Gremio | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Bahia | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Gremio | 0–0 | D |
Corinthians – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Fluminense | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Flamengo | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Sep | @ Estudiantes L.P. | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Chapecoense-sc | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Santos | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 7 Aug 2026 | Corinthians v Internacional | 2–1 |
| 2 Aug 2026 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2–0 |
| 5 Apr 2026 | Corinthians v Internacional | 0–1 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Internacional vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Internacional have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Corinthians 34%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Internacional vs Corinthians?
Internacional vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira Rio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.