Major League Soccer · USA · Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls

LLWLL

3–0

Atlanta United FC

WLLLW

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC prediction & analysis

63%

Footrivo pick

New York Red Bulls to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✓63% · @1.85

Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.33

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Win chances

New York Red Bulls63%fair 1.59 · @1.85

Draw14%fair 7.20 · @4.33

Atlanta United FC23%fair 4.29 · @3.50

3.46Expected goals

2.23New York Red Bulls xG

1.24Atlanta United FC xG

67%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%

1–19%

2–08%

3–17%

1–07%

2–26%

From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 2.2 – 1.2 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

New York Red Bulls are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 23% for Atlanta United FC.

New York Red Bulls have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Atlanta United FC have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.

We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 for New York Red Bulls, 1.2 for Atlanta United FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, New York Red Bulls have won 0, Atlanta United FC have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is New York Red Bulls to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	New York Red Bulls to win ✓	63%	1.59	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	86%	1.16	1.22 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	67%	1.48	1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	50%	1.98	2.00
Half-time result	New York Red Bulls ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls ✓	39%	2.59	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.41	–

Form

New York Red Bulls – last 6

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1 Nov	@ Nashville SC	2–3	L
29 Oct	@ New England Revolution	2–3	L
24 Oct	vs Inter Miami	2–0	W
18 Oct	vs Toronto FC	0–2	L
15 Oct	@ DC United	1–2	L
11 Oct	vs San Diego	4–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Atlanta United FC – last 6

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1 Nov	vs Toronto FC	3–1	W
29 Oct	@ New York City FC	1–2	L
25 Oct	vs Chicago Fire	2–3	L
18 Oct	vs Inter Miami	1–3	L
15 Oct	@ CF Montreal	3–0	W
11 Oct	vs FC Cincinnati	1–3	L

1.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026

Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls

2–1

Major League Soccer table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub →

Inter Miami3

Charlotte3 71209 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓ FT

FC Cincinnati0

Nashville SC2 362142 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✗ FT

Philadelphia Union4

Toronto FC1 661618 1Philadelphia Union to win 66%@1.45 ✓ FT

CF Montreal0

Vancouver Whitecaps2 172459 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.44 ✗ FT

Chicago Fire3

Columbus Crew4 651322 1Chicago Fire to win 65%@1.95 ✗ FT

Orlando City SC1

New England Revolution0 461934 GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.33 ✗ FT

DC United0

New York City FC1 342244 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

Our pick is New York Red Bulls to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Atlanta United FC 23%.

How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

When is New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.