FKF Premier League · Kenya
AFC Leopards vs Bidco United prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AFC Leopards 1.3 – 0.6 Bidco United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AFC Leopards are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 26% for Bidco United.
AFC Leopards have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Bidco United have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. AFC Leopards come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.3 for AFC Leopards, 0.6 for Bidco United). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 0–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 88% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | AFC Leopards to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards ✗ | 32% | 3.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 5.10 | – |
Form
AFC Leopards – last 6
| 24 May | @ APS Bomet | 1–2 | L |
| 13 May | @ Ulinzi Stars | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | vs GOR Mahia | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Apr | @ Murang'a SEAL | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs Kariobangi Sharks | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | vs Tusker | 1–0 | W |
Bidco United – last 6
| 24 May | vs Murang'a SEAL | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | vs Shabana | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | @ Tusker | 0–2 | L |
| 3 May | vs Kariobangi Sharks | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Apr | @ Posta Rangers FC | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Apr | vs KCB | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Leopards and Bidco United.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AFC Leopards vs Bidco United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 88% chance.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Bidco United?
On our numbers AFC Leopards have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Bidco United 26%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Leopards vs Bidco United?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is AFC Leopards vs Bidco United?
AFC Leopards vs Bidco United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.