FKF Premier League · Kenya
Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Posta Rangers FC 0.9 – 1.1 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sofapaka shade it despite being away from home – 51% to win, against 38% for Posta Rangers FC.
Posta Rangers FC have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Sofapaka have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.9 for Posta Rangers FC, 1.1 for Sofapaka). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 86% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sofapaka to win ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sofapaka / FT Sofapaka ✗ | 23% | 4.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.47 | – |
Form
Posta Rangers FC – last 6
| 6 May | @ Bandari | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Apr | vs Bidco United | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | vs APS Bomet | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Apr | @ Mara Sugar | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Mar | vs Homeboyz | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | @ Kariobangi Sharks | 2–1 | W |
Sofapaka – last 6
| 2 May | vs Mathare United | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ APS Bomet | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Apr | vs Bandari | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | @ Ulinzi Stars | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | @ Bidco United | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | vs Nairobi United | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Posta Rangers FC and Sofapaka.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 86% chance.
Who will win Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka?
On our numbers Posta Rangers FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Sofapaka 51%.
How many goals will there be in Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka?
Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.