FKF Premier League · KenyaMurang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 0.9 – 1.5 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Homeboyz shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 30% for Murang'a SEAL.
Murang'a SEAL have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Homeboyz have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Homeboyz come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.9 for Murang'a SEAL, 1.5 for Homeboyz). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Homeboyz to win ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Homeboyz / FT Homeboyz ✗ | 31% | 3.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.61 | – |
Form
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
| 6 May | @ Police | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Nairobi United | 2–4 | L |
| 5 Apr | vs AFC Leopards | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | @ Shabana | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Mar | vs Mathare United | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | @ KCB | 1–1 | D |
Homeboyz – last 6
| 3 May | vs GOR Mahia | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | @ KCB | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Apr | @ Nairobi United | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Apr | vs Mathare United | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Mar | @ Posta Rangers FC | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | vs Bandari | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murang'a SEAL and Homeboyz.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Homeboyz 59%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.