FKF Premier League · KenyaShabana vs Ulinzi Stars prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shabana 0.9 – 1.3 Ulinzi Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ulinzi Stars shade it despite being away from home – 54% to win, against 35% for Shabana.
Shabana have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Ulinzi Stars have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 for Shabana, 1.3 for Ulinzi Stars). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 83% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ulinzi Stars to win ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ulinzi Stars / FT Ulinzi Stars ✗ | 26% | 3.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.84 | – |
Form
Shabana – last 6
| 2 May | vs Police | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Apr | @ Nairobi United | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | vs Murang'a SEAL | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | vs Kariobangi Sharks | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Mar | @ AFC Leopards | 1–5 | L |
| 25 Feb | @ Mathare United | 1–0 | W |
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
| 3 May | vs Tusker | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Apr | vs APS Bomet | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | vs Sofapaka | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | @ Nairobi United | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | vs GOR Mahia | 1–3 | L |
| 2 Mar | @ Bidco United | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Ulinzi Stars.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance.
Who will win Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars?
On our numbers Shabana have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Ulinzi Stars 54%.
How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars?
Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.