FKF Premier League · KenyaAPS Bomet vs KCB prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: APS Bomet 1.0 – 1.2 KCB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
KCB shade it despite being away from home – 50% to win, against 39% for APS Bomet.
APS Bomet have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.2 per game. KCB have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.0 for APS Bomet, 1.2 for KCB). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 83% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | KCB to win ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT KCB / FT KCB ✗ | 23% | 4.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.13 | – |
Form
APS Bomet – last 6
| 26 Apr | vs Sofapaka | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | @ Posta Rangers FC | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Apr | @ Ulinzi Stars | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs Nairobi United | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | @ Mara Sugar | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | vs Bidco United | 1–1 | D |
KCB – last 6
| 3 May | @ Nairobi United | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | vs Homeboyz | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Apr | @ Bidco United | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Mar | vs Mara Sugar | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | vs Murang'a SEAL | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Mar | @ Nairobi United | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and KCB.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs KCB?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance.
Who will win APS Bomet vs KCB?
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 11% and KCB 50%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs KCB?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is APS Bomet vs KCB?
APS Bomet vs KCB (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.