FKF Premier League · Kenya · Ulinzi Sports ComplexUlinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 2.25 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.9 – 1.2 AFC Leopards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AFC Leopards shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 32% for Ulinzi Stars.
Ulinzi Stars have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. AFC Leopards have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. AFC Leopards come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 for Ulinzi Stars, 1.2 for AFC Leopards). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.25 is better than our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | AFC Leopards to win ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.40 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 2.25 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards ✓ | 23% | 4.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.85 | – |
Form
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
| 9 May | @ Shabana | 0–0 | D |
| 3 May | vs Tusker | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Apr | vs APS Bomet | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | vs Sofapaka | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | @ Nairobi United | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | vs GOR Mahia | 1–3 | L |
AFC Leopards – last 6
| 26 Apr | vs GOR Mahia | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Apr | @ Murang'a SEAL | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs Kariobangi Sharks | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | vs Tusker | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | vs Nairobi United | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | vs Shabana | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and AFC Leopards.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AFC Leopards 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.