Tercera División RFEF Group 13 · Spain · Complejo Deportivo Mazarrón
Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bala Azul 1.3 – 1.2 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Bala Azul and Real Murcia II on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Bala Azul have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (1W 5D 0L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.7 per game. Real Murcia II have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Bala Azul, 1.2 for Real Murcia II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.77.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bala Azul to win ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bala Azul / FT Bala Azul ✗ | 22% | 4.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.15 | – |
Form
Bala Azul – last 6
| 22 Mar | vs SFC Minerva | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | @ Atlético Pulpileño | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Mar | vs Águilas II | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Mar | @ UCAM Murcia II | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | vs Mazarrón FC | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | @ El Palmar | 2–1 | W |
Real Murcia II – last 6
| 28 Mar | vs Olímpico Totana | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | @ Cartagena LU II | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Mar | @ Águilas II | 0–4 | L |
| 8 Mar | vs Yeclano II | 4–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | @ SFC Minerva | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | vs Atlético Pulpileño | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bala Azul and Real Murcia II.
Tercera División RFEF Group 13 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santomera | 9 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz | 9 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Águilas II | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  San Javier | 9 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 |  UCAM Murcia II | 9 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 |  Unión Molinense | 9 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Los Garres | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bala Azul | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Balsicas Atlético | 9 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Alcantarilla | 9 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Olímpico Totana | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atlético Pulpileño | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Cotillas CD | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Cartagena LU II | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  SFC Minerva | 9 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Algar | 9 | -17 | 6 |
| 17 |  Bullas Deportivo | 9 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mazarrón FC | 9 | -6 | 4 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 13 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II?
On our numbers Bala Azul have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Murcia II 36%.
How many goals will there be in Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II?
Bala Azul vs Real Murcia II (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Mazarrón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.