Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Banús Football Center
Marbella vs Teruel prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Marbella 1.1 – 1.0 Teruel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Marbella and Teruel on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Marbella have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Teruel have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Marbella, 1.0 for Teruel). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (13%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.59.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Marbella to win ✓ | 38% | 2.63 | 2.65 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.93 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 21% | 4.82 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.61 | – |
Form
Marbella – last 6
| 10 May | vs Juventud Torremolinos | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Gimnastic | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | @ Atlético Madrid II | 4–5 | L |
| 29 Mar | @ Hércules | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | vs Sevilla Atletico | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | @ Ibiza | 1–0 | W |
Teruel – last 6
| 3 May | vs Tarazona | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | vs Atlético Madrid II | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Mar | vs Villarreal II | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | @ Algeciras | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | @ Juventud Torremolinos | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Feb | vs Ibiza | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Teruel.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Marbella vs Teruel?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Marbella vs Teruel?
On our numbers Marbella have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Teruel 36%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Teruel?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Marbella vs Teruel?
Marbella vs Teruel (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Banús Football Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.