Sint Maarten
Anguilla
Sint Maarten vs Anguilla prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 2.00
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sint Maarten 2.0 – 0.5 Anguilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sint Maarten are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 9% for Anguilla.
Sint Maarten have taken 1 points from their last 5 matches (0W 1D 4L), scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.0 per game. Anguilla have 3 points from their last 5 (1W 0D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (2.0 for Sint Maarten, 0.5 for Anguilla). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (17%), 3–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sint Maarten to win | 76% | 1.32 | 1.08 |
| Double chance | Sint Maarten or draw | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 52% | 1.91 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.23 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Sint Maarten ahead at half-time | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sint Maarten / FT Sint Maarten | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 17% | 5.77 | – |
Form
Sint Maarten – last 5
| 6 Oct | @ St. Vincent Grenadines | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs St. Vincent Grenadines | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ French Guyana | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Belize | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Dominica | 0–0 | D |
Anguilla – last 5
| 5 Oct | @ Aruba | 2–3 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Antigua and Barbuda | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | vs Aruba | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Antigua and Barbuda | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Mar | @ Bahamas | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sint Maarten and Anguilla.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?
On our numbers Sint Maarten have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Anguilla 9%.
How many goals will there be in Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?
Sint Maarten vs Anguilla (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.