Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Juárez W
Guadalajara W
Juárez W vs Guadalajara W prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28
Value bet: Guadalajara W to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Juárez W 1.3 – 1.5 Guadalajara W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Juárez W and Guadalajara W on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Juárez W have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Guadalajara W have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.3 for Juárez W, 1.5 for Guadalajara W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Juárez W have won 0, Guadalajara W have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Guadalajara W to win at 2.70 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Guadalajara W to win | 41% | 2.42 | 2.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 60% | 1.66 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 42% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Guadalajara W / FT Guadalajara W | 24% | 4.20 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 9% | 11.00 | – |
Form
Juárez W – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Monterrey W | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Nov | @ Puebla W | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Querétaro W | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | @ Atlético San Luis W | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Oct | @ Guadalajara W | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Tijuana W | 5–1 | W |
Guadalajara W – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs América W | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Toluca W | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ Atlante W | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Necaxa W | 7–0 | W |
| 5 Oct | vs Juárez W | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Cruz Azul W | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Oct 2026 | Guadalajara W v Juárez W | 1–0 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Juárez W v Guadalajara W | 1–1 |
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Juárez W vs Guadalajara W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Juárez W vs Guadalajara W?
On our numbers Juárez W have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guadalajara W 41%.
How many goals will there be in Juárez W vs Guadalajara W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Juárez W vs Guadalajara W?
Juárez W vs Guadalajara W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.