Copa Uruguay · Uruguay · Estadio Belvedere
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.2 – 1.0 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Liverpool Montevideo hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Juventud.
Liverpool Montevideo have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.2 per game. Juventud have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Liverpool Montevideo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Liverpool Montevideo, 1.0 for Juventud). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Liverpool Montevideo have won 1, Juventud have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.27.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Liverpool Montevideo to win | 44% | 2.27 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 78% | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 13% | 7.46 | – |
Form
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ Gladiador | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Nov | vs Juventud | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Club Nacional | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Cerro Largo | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Penarol | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Deportivo Maldonado | 1–1 | D |
Juventud – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Liverpool Montevideo | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Nacional Florida | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Penarol | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Progreso | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Racing Montevideo | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ Plaza Colonia | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 3 Nov 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo v Juventud | 2–0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventud 34%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.