Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Envigado
Popayan
Envigado vs Popayan prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.26
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Envigado 1.9 – 0.6 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Envigado are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 10% for Popayan.
Envigado have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Popayan have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Envigado come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.9 for Envigado, 0.6 for Popayan). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (15%), 3–0 (9%).
In their last 3 meetings, Envigado have won 1, Popayan have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Envigado to win | 68% | 1.48 | 1.43 |
| Double chance | Envigado or draw | 90% | 1.11 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 52% | 1.94 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.29 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| Half-time result | Envigado ahead at half-time | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Envigado / FT Envigado | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 16% | 6.19 | – |
Form
Envigado – last 6
| 6 Nov | @ Popayan | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | vs Ind. Yumbo | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Patriotas | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Barranquilla | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Real Santander | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Internacional Palmira | 1–1 | D |
Popayan – last 6
| 6 Nov | vs Envigado | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | vs Union Magdalena | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Internacional Palmira | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Ind. Yumbo | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Depor FC | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | @ Orsomarso | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 6 Nov 2026 | Popayan v Envigado | 1–0 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Popayan v Envigado | 2–2 |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Envigado v Popayan | 1–0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Envigado vs Popayan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Envigado vs Popayan?
On our numbers Envigado have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Popayan 10%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Popayan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Envigado vs Popayan?
Envigado vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.