Premier League · Malta

Floriana

LLDDD
0–2
FT

Hibernians

WDWWD

Floriana vs Hibernians prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.21Odds
2

Value bet: Hibernians to win @ 3.55 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultFloriana to win ✗48% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Win chances

Floriana48%fair 2.10 · @1.96
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.45
Hibernians32%fair 3.17 · @3.55
2.84Expected goals
1.60Floriana xG
1.24Hibernians xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Floriana 1.6 – 1.2 Hibernians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Floriana hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 32% for Hibernians.

Floriana have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Hibernians have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Hibernians come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.6 for Floriana, 1.2 for Hibernians). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 2 meetings, Floriana have won 2, Hibernians have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Hibernians to win at 3.55 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFloriana to win ✗48%2.101.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.31
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Floriana / FT Floriana ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%10.68–

Form

Floriana – last 6

LLDDDW
1 Novvs Valletta FC0–1L
26 Octvs Zabbar St. Patrick1–2L
22 Oct@ Birkirkara1–1D
18 Octvs Mosta3–3D
11 Octvs Balzan FC1–1D
20 Sep@ Hibernians4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hibernians – last 6

WDWWDL
31 Oct@ Balzan FC2–1W
26 Oct@ Mosta2–2D
22 Octvs Gzira United2–1W
18 Octvs Birzebbuga1–0W
11 Oct@ Hamrun Spartans2–2D
20 Sepvs Floriana0–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Sep 2026Hibernians v Floriana0–4
22 Feb 2026Floriana v Hibernians4–1

More Premier League predictions

FT Gzira United0 Balzan FC3 312148 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.24 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Floriana vs Hibernians?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Floriana vs Hibernians?

On our numbers Floriana have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hibernians 32%.

How many goals will there be in Floriana vs Hibernians?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Floriana vs Hibernians?

Floriana vs Hibernians (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.