USL League One · USA · American Legion Memorial Stadium
Charlotte Independence
Forward Madison
Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 1.7 – 1.5 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Charlotte Independence hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 36% for Forward Madison.
Charlotte Independence have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Forward Madison have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Charlotte Independence come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.7 for Charlotte Independence, 1.5 for Forward Madison). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Charlotte Independence have won 1, Forward Madison have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.43 is close to our fair price of 1.56.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Charlotte Independence to win ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.18 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.43 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.56 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence ✓ | 26% | 3.91 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 9% | 11.33 | – |
Form
Charlotte Independence – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs Naples | 5–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Portland Hearts of Pine | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Greenville Triumph | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs NY Cosmos | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Sarasota Paradise | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Fort Wayne | 1–1 | D |
Forward Madison – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Spokane Velocity | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Union Omaha | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Portland Hearts of Pine | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Westchester SC | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Fort Wayne | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Spokane Velocity | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 23 Aug 2026 | Forward Madison v Charlotte Independence | 1–1 |
| 24 May 2026 | Charlotte Independence v Forward Madison | 3–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Forward Madison 36%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.