NWSL Women · USA · Audi Field
Washington Spirit W
Portland Thorns W
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns W prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Washington Spirit W to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Washington Spirit W 1.8 – 1.0 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Washington Spirit W hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 25% for Portland Thorns W.
Washington Spirit W have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. Portland Thorns W have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 for Washington Spirit W, 1.0 for Portland Thorns W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Washington Spirit W have won 1, Portland Thorns W have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Washington Spirit W to win at 1.95 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Washington Spirit W to win ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Washington Spirit W ahead at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.47 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W ✓ | 34% | 2.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.18 | – |
Form
Washington Spirit W – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Chicago Red Stars W | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Kansas City W | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs NJNY Gotham FC W | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Oct | @ Houston Dash W | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Angel City W | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Chicago Red Stars W | 3–0 | W |
Portland Thorns W – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Houston Dash W | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs North Carolina Courage W | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Bay FC W | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Boston Legacy W | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Houston Dash W | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Orlando Pride W | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
| 6 Sep 2026 | Portland Thorns W v Washington Spirit W | 1–2 |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Washington Spirit W v Portland Thorns W | 0–1 |
More NWSL Women predictions
NJNY Gotham FC W1
Seattle Reign FC W0
1XNJNY Gotham FC W or draw
83%@1.22
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns W?
On our numbers Washington Spirit W have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Portland Thorns W 25%.
How many goals will there be in Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns W?
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.