Cup · Egypt · Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium
El Geish
Asyut Petrol
El Geish vs Asyut Petrol prediction & analysis
El Geish or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: El Geish to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: El Geish 1.6 – 0.5 Asyut Petrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
El Geish are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 13% for Asyut Petrol.
El Geish have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Asyut Petrol have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.6 for El Geish, 0.5 for Asyut Petrol). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is El Geish or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, El Geish to win at 1.95 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | El Geish to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | El Geish or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.22 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT El Geish / FT El Geish ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.25 | – |
Form
El Geish – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Al Ittihad | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Pyramids FC | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ National Bank of Egypt | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Smouha SC | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | @ Olympic El Qanah | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Masr | 0–1 | L |
Asyut Petrol – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Enppi | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | vs El Gouna FC | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Zamalek SC | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ Abu Qair Semad | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Al Ahly | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Future FC | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Geish and Asyut Petrol.
More Cup predictions
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1Petrojet to win
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✗
FT
Future FC0
Olympic El Qanah1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
65%@1.40
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?
Our pick is El Geish or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?
On our numbers El Geish have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Asyut Petrol 13%.
How many goals will there be in El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?
El Geish vs Asyut Petrol (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.