Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico
Piratas
Cancún
Piratas vs Cancún prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Piratas 2.1 – 0.8 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Piratas are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 11% for Cancún.
Piratas have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Cancún have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for Piratas, 0.8 for Cancún). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Piratas have won 0, Cancún have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Piratas to win ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.61 |
| Double chance | Piratas or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Piratas ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Piratas / FT Piratas ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.17 | – |
Form
Piratas – last 6
| 6 Nov | @ Cancún | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Nov | vs Tapatío | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Dorados | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Tepatitlán | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Tlaxcala | 2–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 4–0 | W |
Cancún – last 6
| 6 Nov | vs Piratas | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Nov | vs CDS Tampico Madero | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Tepatitlán | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Venados FC | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Mineros de Zacatecas | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Tapatío | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 6 Nov 2026 | Cancún v Piratas | 1–1 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Piratas v Cancún | 0–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Piratas vs Cancún?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Piratas vs Cancún?
On our numbers Piratas have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cancún 11%.
How many goals will there be in Piratas vs Cancún?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Piratas vs Cancún?
Piratas vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.