Alianza Lima W
Sporting Cristal W
Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alianza Lima W 2.3 – 1.1 Sporting Cristal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alianza Lima W are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 16% for Sporting Cristal W.
Alianza Lima W have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.3 per game. Sporting Cristal W have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Alianza Lima W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.3 for Alianza Lima W, 1.1 for Sporting Cristal W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Alianza Lima W have won 2, Sporting Cristal W have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.62.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alianza Lima W to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Alianza Lima W or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.13 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.45 |
| Half-time result | Alianza Lima W ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alianza Lima W / FT Alianza Lima W ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.23 | – |
Form
Alianza Lima W – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs FBC Melgar W | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Sporting Cristal W | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Atl. Andahuaylas W | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ U. de Deportes W | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Carlos Mannucci W | 6–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ UNSAAC W | 2–0 | W |
Sporting Cristal W – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Atl. Andahuaylas W | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Alianza Lima W | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Carlos Mannucci W | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs UNSAAC W | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Killas W | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Atl. Andahuaylas W | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 20 Sep 2026 | Sporting Cristal W v Alianza Lima W | 0–2 |
| 30 May 2026 | Alianza Lima W v Sporting Cristal W | 1–0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W?
On our numbers Alianza Lima W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sporting Cristal W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W?
Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W () kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.