Segunda División · Venezuela · Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez

Aragua FC

DLDWW
1–1
FTPens 4–3

Yaracuyanos FC

DWDLW

Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAragua FC to win ✗41% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.59

Win chances

Aragua FC41%fair 2.46 · @2.16
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Yaracuyanos FC36%fair 2.81 · @2.89
2.36Expected goals
1.23Aragua FC xG
1.13Yaracuyanos FC xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Aragua FC 1.2 – 1.1 Yaracuyanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Aragua FC and Yaracuyanos FC on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Aragua FC have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Yaracuyanos FC have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Aragua FC, 1.1 for Yaracuyanos FC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).

In their last 3 meetings, Aragua FC have won 1, Yaracuyanos FC have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.31.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAragua FC to win ✗41%2.462.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.79
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aragua FC / FT Aragua FC ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.59–

Form

Aragua FC – last 6

DLDWWW
1 Nov@ Yaracuyanos FC0–0D
21 Oct@ Deportivo La Guaira0–3L
18 Oct@ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz2–2D
14 Octvs Caracas FC3–1W
7 Oct@ Fundación Lara Deportiva4–1W
27 Sepvs Atletico Avila FC1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Yaracuyanos FC – last 6

DWDLWW
1 Novvs Aragua FC0–0D
18 Oct@ Urena SC5–1W
14 Octvs Fundación Lara Deportiva1–1D
7 Oct@ Caracas FC0–1L
4 Oct@ Zamora FC B4–1W
30 Sepvs Puerto Cabello II3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Nov 2026Yaracuyanos FC v Aragua FC0–0
9 Sep 2026Yaracuyanos FC v Aragua FC2–5
26 Aug 2026Aragua FC v Yaracuyanos FC1–2

More Segunda División predictions

FT Monagas II2 Urena SC2 Pens 3–4 652411 1Monagas II to win 65%@1.52 ✗ Postponed Deportivo Lara Zamora FC B 662212 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.48

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC?

On our numbers Aragua FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Yaracuyanos FC 36%.

How many goals will there be in Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC?

Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.