Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Municipal de Mosquera

Real Cundinamarca

LDLWD
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Real Cartagena

WLDDW

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.21

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Cartagena to win46% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.28

Win chances

Real Cundinamarca32%fair 3.14 · @2.99
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.08
Real Cartagena46%fair 2.18 · @2.18
2.42Expected goals
1.06Real Cundinamarca xG
1.36Real Cartagena xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Real Cundinamarca 1.1 – 1.4 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Real Cartagena shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 32% for Real Cundinamarca.

Real Cundinamarca have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Real Cartagena have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.1 for Real Cundinamarca, 1.4 for Real Cartagena). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 2 meetings, Real Cundinamarca have won 0, Real Cartagena have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.31.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win46%2.182.18
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.291.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.941.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.791.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.311.21
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112%8.28–

Form

Real Cundinamarca – last 6

LDLWDD
8 Nov@ Real Cartagena0–1L
1 Novvs Tigres FC0–0D
29 Oct@ Quindio0–2L
24 Octvs Ind. Yumbo1–0W
20 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
14 Octvs Bogota FC0–0D
0.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

WLDDWD
8 Novvs Real Cundinamarca1–0W
4 Novvs Quindio2–3L
29 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
24 Oct@ Barranquilla1–1D
20 Octvs Patriotas3–0W
16 Oct@ Quindio1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Nov 2026Real Cartagena v Real Cundinamarca1–0
2 Aug 2026Real Soacha v Real Cartagena1–1

More Primera B predictions

Quindio Tigres FC 591724 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.53

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

On our numbers Real Cundinamarca have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Cartagena 46%.

How many goals will there be in Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.