K League 1 · South-Korea · Jeju World Cup Stadium
Jeju United FC
Gwangju FC
Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC prediction & analysis
Jeju United FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
Value bet: Jeju United FC to win @ 1.86 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jeju United FC 1.9 – 0.8 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Jeju United FC are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 18% for Gwangju FC.
Jeju United FC have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Gwangju FC have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. Gwangju FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Jeju United FC, 0.8 for Gwangju FC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Jeju United FC have won 2, Gwangju FC have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Jeju United FC or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.22. For a bigger price, Jeju United FC to win at 1.86 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jeju United FC to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.86 ▲ |
| Double chance | Jeju United FC or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.34 |
| Half-time result | Jeju United FC ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jeju United FC / FT Jeju United FC ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.05 | – |
Form
Jeju United FC – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Pohang Steelers | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Incheon United | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Jeonbuk Motors | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ FC Seoul | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Gangwon FC | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Bucheon FC 1995 | 2–2 | D |
Gwangju FC – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Bucheon FC 1995 | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Daejeon Citizen | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Ulsan Hyundai FC | 4–3 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Jeonbuk Motors | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs FC Anyang | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 9 Sep 2026 | Gwangju FC v Jeju United FC | 0–1 |
| 26 Jul 2026 | Gwangju FC v Jeju United FC | 1–2 |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Jeju United FC v Gwangju FC | 0–0 |
More K League 1 predictions
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1
FC Anyang0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.22
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC?
Our pick is Jeju United FC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC?
On our numbers Jeju United FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gwangju FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC?
Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Jeju World Cup Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.