K League 1 · South-Korea · Daejeon World Cup Stadium
Daejeon Citizen
Incheon United
Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United prediction & analysis
Daejeon Citizen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Daejeon Citizen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Daejeon Citizen 1.8 – 0.8 Incheon United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Daejeon Citizen are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Incheon United.
Daejeon Citizen have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Incheon United have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Incheon United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Daejeon Citizen, 0.8 for Incheon United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Daejeon Citizen have won 1, Incheon United have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Daejeon Citizen or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Daejeon Citizen to win at 1.95 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Daejeon Citizen to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Daejeon Citizen or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Daejeon Citizen ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Daejeon Citizen / FT Daejeon Citizen ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.25 | – |
Form
Daejeon Citizen – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Kashiwa Reysol | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Jeonbuk Motors | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Oct | vs Vissel Kobe | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Gwangju FC | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ SHANGHAI SIPG | 1–1 | D |
Incheon United – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ FC Seoul | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Jeju United FC | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Gangwon FC | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Pohang Steelers | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Gangwon FC | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Daejeon Citizen | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 20 Sep 2026 | Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen | 1–1 |
| 5 May 2026 | Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United | 0–0 |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen | 1–3 |
More K League 1 predictions
FC Seoul1
Ulsan Hyundai FC2
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.50
✓
FT
Gangwon FC3
Jeonbuk Motors2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
78%@1.20
✗
FT
Bucheon FC 19952
Pohang Steelers2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.35
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?
Our pick is Daejeon Citizen or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?
On our numbers Daejeon Citizen have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Incheon United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?
Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.