Sergipano 2 · Brazil
Socorrense
Carmópolis
Socorrense vs Carmópolis prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Socorrense 1.2 – 2.3 Carmópolis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Carmópolis travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 19% for Socorrense.
Socorrense have taken 6 points from their last 3 matches (2W 0D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Carmópolis have 7 points from their last 3 (2W 1D 0L), averaging 4.0 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.2 for Socorrense, 2.3 for Carmópolis). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (8%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Carmópolis to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time result | Carmópolis ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Carmópolis / FT Carmópolis ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.52 | – |
Form
Socorrense – last 3
| 3 Nov | @ América de Pedrinhas | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Flamengo SE | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Olímpico SE | 2–1 | W |
Carmópolis – last 3
| 3 Nov | vs Caninde | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs América de Pedrinhas | 8–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ Flamengo SE | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Socorrense and Carmópolis.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Socorrense vs Carmópolis?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Socorrense vs Carmópolis?
On our numbers Socorrense have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Carmópolis 62%.
How many goals will there be in Socorrense vs Carmópolis?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Socorrense vs Carmópolis?
Socorrense vs Carmópolis (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.