Premier League · Mongolia

Deren

LDLWW
Tue 10 Nov 2026

Ulaanbaatar

WWWWW

Deren vs Ulaanbaatar prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultUlaanbaatar to win64% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score73% · @1.22
GoalsOver 2.5 goals83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27% · fair 13.59

Win chances

Deren25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
Draw11%fair 9.04 · @6.25
Ulaanbaatar64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
4.52Expected goals
1.71Deren xG
2.81Ulaanbaatar xG
73%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%

From our goals model: Deren 1.7 – 2.8 Ulaanbaatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Ulaanbaatar travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 25% for Deren.

Deren have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Ulaanbaatar have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 4.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Ulaanbaatar come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 4.5 goals (1.7 for Deren, 2.8 for Ulaanbaatar). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (7%), 1–3 (7%), 2–2 (6%).

In their last 4 meetings, Deren have won 1, Ulaanbaatar have won 3 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.38.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlaanbaatar to win64%1.561.57
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score73%1.381.22
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals94%1.06–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals83%1.211.12
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals66%1.51–
Half-time resultUlaanbaatar ahead at half-time48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ulaanbaatar / FT Ulaanbaatar40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27%13.59–

Form

Deren – last 6

LDLWWL
6 Nov@ Hunters1–2L
2 Nov@ Central Stallions3–3D
29 Oct@ Ulaanbaatar0–1L
25 Octvs Hunters2–0W
14 Octvs Erchim5–0W
11 Oct@ Central Stallions1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ulaanbaatar – last 6

WWWWWW
6 Novvs Central Stallions3–2W
2 Nov@ Hunters9–1W
29 Octvs Deren1–0W
25 Oct@ Central Stallions1–0W
18 Octvs Central Stallions2–0W
14 Octvs Khovd Western8–0W
4.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Oct 2026Ulaanbaatar v Deren1–0
6 Jul 2026Ulaanbaatar v Deren2–3
27 Jun 2026Deren v Ulaanbaatar0–2
23 May 2026Ulaanbaatar v Deren2–0

More Premier League predictions

Central Stallions Hunters 731611 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.57

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

On our numbers Deren have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Ulaanbaatar 64%.

How many goals will there be in Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.

When is Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

Deren vs Ulaanbaatar (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.