FA Cup · England · Boundary Park

Oldham

WLDLW
1–1
FTAET 2–1

Sheffield Wednesday

DDLLW

Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSheffield Wednesday to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Win chances

Oldham29%fair 3.47 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Sheffield Wednesday49%fair 2.03 · @2.15
3.04Expected goals
1.29Oldham xG
1.76Sheffield Wednesday xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Oldham 1.3 – 1.8 Sheffield Wednesday expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Sheffield Wednesday shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 29% for Oldham.

Oldham have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Sheffield Wednesday have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. Oldham come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.3 for Oldham, 1.8 for Sheffield Wednesday). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Oldham have won 1, Sheffield Wednesday have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.58.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheffield Wednesday to win ✗49%2.032.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.50
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sheffield Wednesday / FT Sheffield Wednesday ✗30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.56–

Form

Oldham – last 6

WLDLWW
3 Nov@ Northampton1–0W
31 Octvs Crawley Town0–1L
24 Oct@ Barnet1–1D
20 Oct@ Walsall0–3L
17 Octvs Cheltenham4–1W
13 Octvs Leeds United U214–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sheffield Wednesday – last 6

DDLLWD
1 Novvs Blackpool1–1D
27 Octvs Cambridge United1–1D
24 Oct@ Doncaster0–2L
20 Oct@ Notts County0–2L
17 Octvs AFC Wimbledon5–0W
10 Oct@ Huddersfield2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday4–0

More FA Cup predictions

FT Cray Wanderers2 Stockport County2 AET 2–3 81973 2Stockport County to win 73%@1.22 ✗ FT Wimborne Town2 Crawley Town0 191962 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?

On our numbers Oldham have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sheffield Wednesday 49%.

How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday (FA Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.