Primera División · Bolivia · Felix Capriles
Aurora
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aurora 2.0 – 1.1 Universitario de Vinto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Aurora hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 22% for Universitario de Vinto.
Aurora have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Universitario de Vinto have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded. Aurora come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 for Aurora, 1.1 for Universitario de Vinto). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 3 meetings, Aurora have won 2, Universitario de Vinto have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.7 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.64.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aurora to win ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.57 |
| Half-time result | Aurora ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aurora / FT Aurora ✗ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.14 | – |
Form
Aurora – last 6
| 4 Nov | vs Independiente Petrolero | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Oriente Petrolero | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Real Tomayapo | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ Independiente Petrolero | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Real Oruro | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Nacional Potosí | 2–2 | D |
Universitario de Vinto – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs Always Ready | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Bolívar | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Real Oruro | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Oct | @ Oriente Petrolero | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ The Strongest | 2–5 | L |
Head to head
| 19 Sep 2026 | Aurora v Universitario de Vinto | 4–2 |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Universitario de Vinto v Aurora | 1–1 |
| 2 Jun 2026 | Universitario de Vinto v Aurora | 1–2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?
On our numbers Aurora have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universitario de Vinto 22%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?
Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Felix Capriles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.