Primera División · Bolivia

Nacional Potosí

WDWLL
1–1
FT

Real Potosí

LDLWW

Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
2

Value bet: Real Potosí to win @ 2.47 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Potosí to win ✗45% · @2.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.85

Win chances

Nacional Potosí35%fair 2.89 · @2.41
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.35
Real Potosí45%fair 2.23 · @2.47
2.65Expected goals
1.21Nacional Potosí xG
1.43Real Potosí xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Nacional Potosí 1.2 – 1.4 Real Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Real Potosí shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 35% for Nacional Potosí.

Nacional Potosí have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Real Potosí have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for Nacional Potosí, 1.4 for Real Potosí). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 3 meetings, Nacional Potosí have won 0, Real Potosí have won 1 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.45. For a bigger price, Real Potosí to win at 2.47 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Potosí to win ✗45%2.232.47 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.321.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.38
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Potosí / FT Real Potosí ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.85–

Form

Nacional Potosí – last 6

WDWLLD
4 Novvs Oriente Petrolero5–1W
31 Oct@ Real Oruro1–1D
26 Octvs Guabirá3–0W
22 Oct@ Oriente Petrolero2–3L
18 Octvs Bolívar0–1L
11 Oct@ Aurora2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Potosí – last 6

LDLWWW
6 Nov@ Bolívar0–1L
30 Octvs Independiente Petrolero1–1D
24 Oct@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo1–2L
21 Octvs Bolívar3–1W
16 Oct@ ABB1–0W
11 Octvs The Strongest1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Sep 2026Nacional Potosí v Real Potosí0–1
20 Sep 2026Real Potosí v Nacional Potosí2–2
12 Jul 2026Real Potosí v Nacional Potosí1–1

More Primera División predictions

FT Guabirá5 San Antonio Bulo Bulo1 671419 1Guabirá to win 67%@1.70 ✓ FT Bolívar1 The Strongest0 701912 1XBolívar or draw 88%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí?

On our numbers Nacional Potosí have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Potosí 45%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí?

Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.