Cup · Luxembourg
Mamer
US Mondorf-les-bains
Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.38 – our chance 58% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mamer 1.7 – 3.6 US Mondorf-les-bains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
US Mondorf-les-bains travel as clear favourites – 70% to win, against 12% for Mamer.
Mamer have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.8 per game. US Mondorf-les-bains have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 3.2 scored and 2.0 conceded. US Mondorf-les-bains come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 5.3 goals (1.7 for Mamer, 3.6 for US Mondorf-les-bains). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–3 (7%), 1–4 (6%), 2–3 (6%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.54 is better than our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Over 3.5 goals at 2.38 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | US Mondorf-les-bains to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | US Mondorf-les-bains or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.74 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 97% | 1.03 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.54 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 2.38 ▲ |
| Half-time result | US Mondorf-les-bains ahead at half-time | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT US Mondorf-les-bains / FT US Mondorf-les-bains | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–3 ✓ | 7% | 15.09 | – |
Form
Mamer – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Red Star Merl-Belair | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Rodange 91 | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Jul | @ F91 Dudelange | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jul | vs Green Boys | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Jul | vs Etzella Ettelbruck | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Jul | @ Nancy | 0–8 | L |
US Mondorf-les-bains – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs US Hostert | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 0–6 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Wiltz | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ US Rumelange | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz | 10–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Résidence Walferdange | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mamer and US Mondorf-les-bains.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
On our numbers Mamer have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and US Mondorf-les-bains 70%.
How many goals will there be in Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
We expect about 5.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.