Botola 2 · Morocco

Chabab Ben Guerir

LWDLL
0–1
FT

KAC Kenitra

DDWDL

Chabab Ben Guerir vs KAC Kenitra prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultChabab Ben Guerir to win ✗41% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.54
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.47

Win chances

Chabab Ben Guerir41%fair 2.47 · @2.48
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.74
KAC Kenitra33%fair 3.00 · @2.82
1.87Expected goals
1.00Chabab Ben Guerir xG
0.87KAC Kenitra xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Chabab Ben Guerir 1.0 – 0.9 KAC Kenitra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Chabab Ben Guerir hold the edge on home soil with a 41% chance of winning, against 33% for KAC Kenitra.

Chabab Ben Guerir have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. KAC Kenitra have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 1.9 goals (1.0 for Chabab Ben Guerir, 0.9 for KAC Kenitra). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 0–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%).

In their last 1 meeting, Chabab Ben Guerir have won 0, KAC Kenitra have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.44.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChabab Ben Guerir to win ✗41%2.472.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.54
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗56%1.781.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.441.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.07
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.47–

Form

Chabab Ben Guerir – last 6

LWDLLW
31 Oct@ Wydad Fès1–3L
25 Octvs Chabab Mohammédia2–0W
17 Oct@ Mouloudia Oujda2–2D
10 Octvs Stade Marocain0–1L
4 Oct@ Olympique Safi0–1L
27 Sepvs Riadi Salmi2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

KAC Kenitra – last 6

DDWDLL
31 Octvs USM Oujda1–1D
25 Oct@ Olympique Dcheïra0–0D
17 Octvs El Massira1–0W
10 Oct@ Union Sportive Boujaad1–1D
4 Octvs Yacoub El Mansour0–1L
26 Sepvs Wydad Fès0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026KAC Kenitra v Chabab Ben Guerir1–1

More Botola 2 predictions

FT Stade Marocain2 Olympique Safi1 432532 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.38 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chabab Ben Guerir vs KAC Kenitra?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Chabab Ben Guerir vs KAC Kenitra?

On our numbers Chabab Ben Guerir have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and KAC Kenitra 33%.

How many goals will there be in Chabab Ben Guerir vs KAC Kenitra?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Chabab Ben Guerir vs KAC Kenitra?

Chabab Ben Guerir vs KAC Kenitra (Botola 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.