Cup · Ukraine · Ukraina Stadium
Karpaty vs Oleksandria prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Karpaty 2.1 – 0.9 Oleksandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Karpaty are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 14% for Oleksandria.
Karpaty have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Oleksandria have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Karpaty, 0.9 for Oleksandria). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Karpaty have won 1, Oleksandria have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Karpaty to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Karpaty or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Karpaty ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.49 | – |
Form
Karpaty – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Chornomorets | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ KV Mechelen | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Veres Rivne | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Kolos Kovalivka | 3–2 | W |
Oleksandria – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Probiy Horodenka | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Kulykiv | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Kolos Kovalivka II | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Yarud Mariupol' | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 11 Apr 2026 | Karpaty v Oleksandria | 2–0 |
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Kryvbas KR1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
On our numbers Karpaty have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oleksandria 14%.
How many goals will there be in Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
Karpaty vs Oleksandria (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ukraina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.