Segunda División · Peru · Estadio Jorge Basadre
Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci prediction & analysis
Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bentín Tacna Heroica 1.7 – 0.7 Carlos A. Mannucci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bentín Tacna Heroica are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Carlos A. Mannucci.
Bentín Tacna Heroica have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Carlos A. Mannucci have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Carlos A. Mannucci come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Bentín Tacna Heroica, 0.7 for Carlos A. Mannucci). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 44%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Bentín Tacna Heroica to win at 1.83 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bentín Tacna Heroica to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bentín Tacna Heroica / FT Bentín Tacna Heroica ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.69 | – |
Form
Bentín Tacna Heroica – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Alianza Universidad | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Estudiantil CNI | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Santos | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Alianza Universidad | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Sport Huancayo 2 | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Comerciantes | 2–2 | D |
Carlos A. Mannucci – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs U. San Martin | 7–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | @ Molinos El Pirata | 4–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Academia Cantolao | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Union Comercio | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Cesar Vallejo | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Deportiva Agropecuaria | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bentín Tacna Heroica and Carlos A. Mannucci.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Comercio | 16 | +14 | 32 |
| 2 |  Carlos A. Mannucci | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Llacuabamba | 16 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Molinos El Pirata | 16 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  U. San Martin | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Deportiva Agropecuaria | 15 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Cesar Vallejo | 15 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Academia Cantolao | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 9 |  San Marcos | 14 | -43 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our pick is Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
On our numbers Bentín Tacna Heroica have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Carlos A. Mannucci 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Carlos A. Mannucci (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Basadre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.