Campionato · San-Marino

Juvenes Dogana

DLLLL
1–0
FT

Pennarossa

DWDLW

Juvenes Dogana vs Pennarossa prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Juvenes Dogana or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Juvenes Dogana to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultJuvenes Dogana to win ✓57% · @1.88
Double chanceJuvenes Dogana or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Win chances

Juvenes Dogana57%fair 1.76 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.55
Pennarossa19%fair 5.15 · @3.38
3.21Expected goals
2.06Juvenes Dogana xG
1.16Pennarossa xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Juvenes Dogana 2.1 – 1.2 Pennarossa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Juvenes Dogana hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 19% for Pennarossa.

Juvenes Dogana have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Pennarossa have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.7 conceded. Pennarossa come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.2 goals (2.1 for Juvenes Dogana, 1.2 for Pennarossa). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).

Our pick is Juvenes Dogana or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Juvenes Dogana to win at 1.88 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuvenes Dogana to win ✓57%1.761.88 ▲
Double chanceJuvenes Dogana or draw ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.64
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.74
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.32
Half-time resultJuvenes Dogana ahead at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juvenes Dogana / FT Juvenes Dogana ✓37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Form

Juvenes Dogana – last 6

DLLLLL
30 Oct@ Cailungo1–1D
27 Octvs Tre Penne1–3L
23 Octvs Virtus0–1L
11 Oct@ Cosmos0–1L
20 Sep@ Tre Penne0–2L
13 Sepvs Folgore1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Pennarossa – last 6

DWDLWL
31 Octvs San Marino Academy1–1D
27 Oct@ Cailungo4–1W
23 Octvs San Giovanni2–2D
9 Octvs Folgore1–5L
19 Sepvs Fiorentino3–1W
13 Sep@ Cosmos1–6L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juvenes Dogana and Pennarossa.

More Campionato predictions

FT Faetano0 Domagnano2 132067 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓ FT Folgore2 Virtus0 342244 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.22 ✓ FT La Fiorita2 Cosmos1 482230 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juvenes Dogana vs Pennarossa?

Our pick is Juvenes Dogana or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Juvenes Dogana vs Pennarossa?

On our numbers Juvenes Dogana have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pennarossa 19%.

How many goals will there be in Juvenes Dogana vs Pennarossa?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is Juvenes Dogana vs Pennarossa?

Juvenes Dogana vs Pennarossa (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.