League Two · China
Guangdong Mingtu
Rizhao Yuqi
Guangdong Mingtu vs Rizhao Yuqi prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
Value bet: Rizhao Yuqi to win @ 3.38 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Guangdong Mingtu 1.1 – 0.9 Rizhao Yuqi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Guangdong Mingtu hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for Rizhao Yuqi.
Guangdong Mingtu have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Rizhao Yuqi have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.1 for Guangdong Mingtu, 0.9 for Rizhao Yuqi). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Guangdong Mingtu have won 1, Rizhao Yuqi have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.49 is close to our fair price of 1.53. For a bigger price, Rizhao Yuqi to win at 3.38 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Guangdong Mingtu to win ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | 2.13 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.49 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 22% | 4.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.54 | – |
Form
Guangdong Mingtu – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Dalian Yingbo B | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Changchun Xidu | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Shanghai Second | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Rizhao Yuqi | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Dalian Yingbo B | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | @ Changchun Xidu | 0–0 | D |
Rizhao Yuqi – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Hubei Chufeng Heli | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Yichun Grand Tiger | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Guangzhou Dandelion | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Guangdong Mingtu | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Oct | @ Hubei Chufeng Heli | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Yichun Grand Tiger | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Oct 2026 | Rizhao Yuqi v Guangdong Mingtu | 1–2 |
More League Two predictions
BIT0
Wuhan Three Towns II3
X2Wuhan Three Towns II or draw
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✓
FT
Changchun Xidu0
Yichun Grand Tiger1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
64%@1.48
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FT
Hubei Chufeng Heli0
Dalian Yingbo B0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
65%@1.40
✗
FT
Nantong Haimen Codion3
Shangyu Pterosaur0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
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FT
Qingdao Red Lions0
Chengdu Rongcheng II2
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
60%@1.59
✓
FT
Shanghai Second0
Guangzhou Dandelion0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
65%@1.43
✗
FT
Tai'an Tiankuang0
Xiamen Feilu0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.26
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Guangdong Mingtu vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Guangdong Mingtu vs Rizhao Yuqi?
On our numbers Guangdong Mingtu have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rizhao Yuqi 33%.
How many goals will there be in Guangdong Mingtu vs Rizhao Yuqi?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Guangdong Mingtu vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Guangdong Mingtu vs Rizhao Yuqi (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.