Barcelona W
Arsenal W
Barcelona W vs Arsenal W prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barcelona W 3.1 – 1.2 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barcelona W are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 9% for Arsenal W.
Barcelona W have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 4.7 and conceding 0.5 per game. Arsenal W have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Barcelona W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.3 goals (3.1 for Barcelona W, 1.2 for Arsenal W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 3–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 3–0 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barcelona W to win | 74% | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| Double chance | Barcelona W or draw | 91% | 1.10 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 66% | 1.50 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Barcelona W ahead at half-time | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 | 8% | 12.36 | – |
Form
Barcelona W – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs Madrid CFF W | 5–1 | W |
| 1 Nov | @ FC Levante Badalona W | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | @ Køge W | 8–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Granada | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Real Sociedad W | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Madrid W | 7–0 | W |
Arsenal W – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Liverpool W | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Nov | vs Aston Villa W | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | vs SL Benfica W | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Tottenham Hotspur W | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Birmingham City W | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Manchester City W | 2–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona W and Arsenal W.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
On our numbers Barcelona W have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arsenal W 9%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
Barcelona W vs Arsenal W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Spotify Camp Nou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.