Melbourne City W
Beijing Beikong W
Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W prediction & analysis
Beijing Beikong W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.32 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Draw @ 3.68 – our chance 55% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +101%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Melbourne City W 1.7 – 1.9 Beijing Beikong W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Melbourne City W and Beijing Beikong W on our numbers – 19% for the home side, 26% for the visitors and 55% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Melbourne City W have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Beijing Beikong W have 6 points from their last 2 (2W 0D 0L), averaging 4.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Beijing Beikong W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.7 for Melbourne City W, 1.9 for Beijing Beikong W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Beijing Beikong W or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.32 is better than our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.68 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 3.68 ▲ |
| Double chance | Beijing Beikong W or draw ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.32 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.19 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.66 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 35% | 2.85 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Beijing Beikong W / FT Beijing Beikong W ✗ | 26% | 3.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.65 | – |
Form
Melbourne City W – last 6
| 4 Nov | @ Kaya W | 7–0 | W |
| 1 Nov | vs Nasaf W | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Sydney FC W | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Wellington Phoenix W | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | vs Tokyo Verdy Beleza W | 1–3 | L |
| 16 May | vs Wellington Phoenix W | 3–1 | W |
Beijing Beikong W – last 2
| 4 Nov | @ Nasaf W | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Nov | vs Kaya W | 6–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne City W and Beijing Beikong W.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W?
Our pick is Beijing Beikong W or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W?
On our numbers Melbourne City W have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Beijing Beikong W 26%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
When is Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W?
Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W (AFC Women's Champions League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.