Liga 2 · Indonesia
Sumsel United
PSIS Semarang
Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Sumsel United to win @ 2.79 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sumsel United 1.4 – 1.3 PSIS Semarang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Sumsel United and PSIS Semarang on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Sumsel United have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. PSIS Semarang have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Sumsel United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Sumsel United, 1.3 for PSIS Semarang). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.44. For a bigger price, Sumsel United to win at 2.79 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sumsel United to win ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.79 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.56 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sumsel United / FT Sumsel United ✗ | 23% | 4.36 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.36 | – |
Form
Sumsel United – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Semen Padang | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Bekasi City | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Persikad Depok FC | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Persiku Kudus | 5–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Persiraja Banda Aceh | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs PSPS | 1–2 | L |
PSIS Semarang – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Persikad Depok FC | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ PSMS Medan | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ PSGC Ciamis | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Persiraja Banda Aceh | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Bekasi City | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Semen Padang | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sumsel United and PSIS Semarang.
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Persiraja Banda Aceh0
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
On our numbers Sumsel United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PSIS Semarang 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.