Celaya
Tigres de Alica
Celaya vs Tigres de Alica prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Celaya 1.5 – 1.3 Tigres de Alica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Celaya hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Tigres de Alica.
Celaya have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Tigres de Alica have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Celaya, 1.3 for Tigres de Alica). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.34.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Celaya to win ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | 2.18 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Celaya / FT Celaya ✗ | 25% | 3.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.96 | – |
Form
Celaya – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Los Cabos United | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Cordobés | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Racing de Veracruz | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Jaguares de Chiapas | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Deportiva Venados | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Montañeses | 2–1 | W |
Tigres de Alica – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Tapachula | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Deportiva Venados | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Reboceros La Piedad | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Cordobés | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs H2O Purepechas | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Tritons Vallarta | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celaya and Tigres de Alica.
More predictions
Deportiva Venados1
Tritons Vallarta1
1Deportiva Venados to win
67%@1.66
✗
FT
Inter Playa del Carmen1
Lobos ULMX2
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
51%@1.85
✗
FT
Montañeses2
Los Cabos United1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
68%@1.34
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Celaya vs Tigres de Alica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Celaya vs Tigres de Alica?
On our numbers Celaya have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tigres de Alica 34%.
How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Tigres de Alica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Celaya vs Tigres de Alica?
Celaya vs Tigres de Alica () kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.