Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19 prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.32
Value bet: Moldova U19 to win @ 4.50 – our chance 39% vs 22% implied by the price (edge +76%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Latvia U19 1.1 – 1.0 Moldova U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Latvia U19 and Moldova U19 on our numbers – 43% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 18% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Latvia U19 have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Latvia U19, 1.0 for Moldova U19). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (13%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.32 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Moldova U19 to win at 4.50 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Latvia U19 to win | 43% | 2.34 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 82% | 1.22 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 52% | 1.91 | 1.94 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.21 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.94 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.32 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw | 21% | 4.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 13% | 7.42 | – |
Form
Latvia U19 – last 6
| 8 Jun | vs Estonia U19 | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Jun | vs Lithuania U19 | 0–1 | L |
| 21 May | @ San Marino U19 | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | @ Slovakia U19 | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Belgium U19 | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Mar | @ Czech Republic U19 | 0–3 | L |
Moldova U19
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latvia U19 and Moldova U19.
UEFA U19 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Denmark U19 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 2 |  Belgium U19 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Czech Republic U19 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Latvia U19 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
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What is the prediction for Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19?
On our numbers Latvia U19 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Moldova U19 39%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19?
Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19 (UEFA U19 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Hadzhi Dimitar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.