Premier League · Uganda · Hoima City Stadium
Kitara
URA
Kitara vs URA prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.42
Value bet: URA to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kitara 1.2 – 0.9 URA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Kitara hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 31% for URA.
Kitara have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. URA have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.2 for Kitara, 0.9 for URA). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Kitara have won 0, URA have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.55. For a bigger price, URA to win at 3.55 is our value angle (31% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kitara to win | 45% | 2.21 | 2.02 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 77% | 1.31 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | 2.13 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Kitara / FT Kitara | 24% | 4.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 15% | 6.78 | – |
Form
Kitara – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Police | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | @ UPDF | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Al Ahly | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Al Ahly | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Kataka | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Kigezi HomeBoyz | 1–0 | W |
URA – last 6
| 4 Nov | @ Kataka | 4–3 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Vipers | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ UPDF | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Blacks Power | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Entebbe UPPC | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs KCCA | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 19 Feb 2026 | Kitara v URA | 1–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kitara vs URA?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Kitara vs URA?
On our numbers Kitara have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and URA 31%.
How many goals will there be in Kitara vs URA?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Kitara vs URA?
Kitara vs URA (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Hoima City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.