Premijer Liga · Bosnia · Stadion Rodjeni
Velež
Čelik
Velež vs Čelik prediction & analysis
Velež to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.56 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Velež 1.9 – 0.6 Čelik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Velež are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Čelik.
Velež have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Čelik have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.9 for Velež, 0.6 for Čelik). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (15%), 1–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Velež have won 0, Čelik have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Velež to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.56 is better than our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Velež to win ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.56 ▲ |
| Double chance | Velež or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 2.04 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.66 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Half-time result | Velež ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Velež / FT Velež ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.41 | – |
Form
Velež – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Sloga Doboj | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ Zvijezda Gradačac | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs BSK Banja Luka | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Siroki Brijeg | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Zrinjski | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs FK Sarajevo | 1–0 | W |
Čelik – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Borac Banja Luka | 2–4 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Proleter Dvorovi | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Siroki Brijeg | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Zrinjski | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs FK Sarajevo | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 28 Aug 2026 | Čelik v Velež | 3–0 |
More Premijer Liga predictions
Borac Banja Luka4
Radnik Bijeljina1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.42
✗
FT
Siroki Brijeg2
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.36
✓
FT
Sloga Doboj1
BSK Banja Luka3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.21
✗
FT
Zrinjski0
FK Sarajevo0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
77%@1.21
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Velež vs Čelik?
Our pick is Velež to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Velež vs Čelik?
On our numbers Velež have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Čelik 11%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Čelik?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Velež vs Čelik?
Velež vs Čelik (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.