Cup · Kazakhstan · Astana Arena
Ordabasy
Kaisar
Ordabasy vs Kaisar prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ordabasy 2.2 – 0.9 Kaisar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ordabasy are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 13% for Kaisar.
Ordabasy have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Kaisar have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Ordabasy come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.2 for Ordabasy, 0.9 for Kaisar). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Ordabasy have won 2, Kaisar have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.26.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ordabasy to win ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Ordabasy or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Ordabasy ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.90 | – |
Form
Ordabasy – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Irtysh | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Zhenys | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Aktobe | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Kaisar | 4–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ Atyrau | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs FC Astana | 1–0 | W |
Kaisar – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Zhenys | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ FC Astana | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Zhetysu | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Ordabasy | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Kyzyl-Zhar | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Atyrau | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Oct 2026 | Kaisar v Ordabasy | 1–4 |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Ordabasy v Kaisar | 2–0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs Kaisar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Kaisar?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kaisar 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Kaisar?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Ordabasy vs Kaisar?
Ordabasy vs Kaisar (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.