Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico

FC Santiago

WWWWD
4–0
FT

Halcones Negros

WLLWW

FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.72 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.72Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Santiago to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceFC Santiago or draw ✓83% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Win chances

FC Santiago65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.05
Halcones Negros17%fair 5.85 · @7.20
3.20Expected goals
2.19FC Santiago xG
1.02Halcones Negros xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: FC Santiago 2.2 – 1.0 Halcones Negros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

FC Santiago are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 17% for Halcones Negros.

FC Santiago have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.5 per game. Halcones Negros have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for FC Santiago, 1.0 for Halcones Negros). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (9%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.72 is better than our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Santiago to win ✓65%1.551.36
Double chanceFC Santiago or draw ✓83%1.211.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.72
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.51
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.681.56
Half-time resultFC Santiago ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Santiago / FT FC Santiago ✓42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Form

FC Santiago – last 6

WWWWDL
31 Oct@ Ciervos3–0W
27 Octvs Real Refineros6–0W
17 Octvs Real Apodaca3–0W
11 Oct@ La Tribu de Cd. Juarez2–0W
5 Octvs Guerreros2–2D
25 Sep@ Acatlan0–1L
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Halcones Negros – last 6

WLLWWW
3 Novvs Real Apodaca1–0W
25 Oct@ Guerreros1–2L
18 Octvs Acambaro0–6L
10 Oct@ Real Refineros3–2W
3 Oct@ Ciervos5–0W
27 Sepvs Calor de San Pedro7–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Santiago and Halcones Negros.

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

FT Mineros de Fresnillo3 Acambaro1 372341 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.46 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.72.

Who will win FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros?

On our numbers FC Santiago have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Halcones Negros 17%.

How many goals will there be in FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros?

FC Santiago vs Halcones Negros (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.