Mamelodi Sundowns
USM Alger
Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 1.6 – 0.7 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 17% for USM Alger.
Mamelodi Sundowns have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.5 per game. USM Alger have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for Mamelodi Sundowns, 0.7 for USM Alger). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mamelodi Sundowns to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Mamelodi Sundowns or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns ✗ | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 6.06 | – |
Form
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Durban City | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | vs Marumo Gallants | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Wiliete | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Wiliete | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Oct | @ Richards Bay | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Orlando Pirates | 2–0 | W |
USM Alger – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ CS Constantine | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs JS Saoura | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs CR Belouizdad | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Oct | @ MB Rouisset | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Olympique Akbou | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Sep | vs JS El Biar | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mamelodi Sundowns and USM Alger.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger?
On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and USM Alger 17%.
How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger (CAF Super Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.