NPFL · Nigeria · Warri Township Stadium

Warri Wolves

DDDDW
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Sporting Lagos

LWWDD

Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos prediction & analysis

86%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17

10/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultWarri Wolves to win44% · fair 2.27
Double chanceEither team to win87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.32

Win chances

Warri Wolves44%fair 2.27
Draw13%fair 7.69
Sporting Lagos43%fair 2.33
2.00Expected goals
1.01Warri Wolves xG
0.99Sporting Lagos xG
42%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Warri Wolves 1.0 – 1.0 Sporting Lagos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Warri Wolves and Sporting Lagos on our numbers – 44% for the home side, 43% for the visitors and 13% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Warri Wolves have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.7 per game. Sporting Lagos have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.0 goals (1.0 for Warri Wolves, 1.0 for Sporting Lagos). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 86% chance.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWarri Wolves to win44%2.27–
Double chanceEither team to win87%1.15–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score58%1.72–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals86%1.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014%7.32–

Form

Warri Wolves – last 6

DDDDWL
8 Novvs Katsina United1–1D
1 Nov@ Plateau United1–1D
25 Octvs Kano Pillars0–0D
18 Oct@ Enyimba0–0D
11 Octvs Inter Lagos3–1W
4 Oct@ Doma United0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sporting Lagos – last 6

LWWDDD
1 Nov@ Katsina United1–2L
18 Oct@ Plateau United3–2W
11 Octvs Bendel Insurance2–1W
3 Oct@ Kano Pillars1–1D
30 Sepvs Ikorodu City0–0D
26 Sepvs Barau FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Warri Wolves and Sporting Lagos.

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 86% chance.

Who will win Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?

On our numbers Warri Wolves have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Sporting Lagos 43%.

How many goals will there be in Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

When is Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?

Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Warri Township Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.