NPFL · Nigeria · Kwara Sports Stadium

Kwara United

LLDDL
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Rivers United

DLDDW

Kwara United vs Rivers United prediction & analysis

85%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18

10/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultRivers United to win49% · fair 2.04
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 6.99

Win chances

Kwara United40%fair 2.50
Draw11%fair 9.09
Rivers United49%fair 2.04
2.05Expected goals
0.94Kwara United xG
1.11Rivers United xG
43%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Kwara United 0.9 – 1.1 Rivers United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Rivers United shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 40% for Kwara United.

Kwara United have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Rivers United have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 for Kwara United, 1.1 for Rivers United). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).

In their last 1 meeting, Kwara United have won 0, Rivers United have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 85% chance.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRivers United to win49%2.04–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score57%1.77–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals61%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals85%1.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rivers United / FT Rivers United22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114%6.99–

Form

Kwara United – last 6

LLDDLW
8 Nov@ Enugu Rangers0–1L
1 Novvs Bendel Insurance1–2L
25 Oct@ Barau FC1–1D
18 Octvs Abia Warriors1–1D
10 Oct@ Ikorodu City0–2L
4 Octvs Ranchers Bees2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rivers United – last 6

DLDDWD
1 Novvs Enugu Rangers1–1D
25 Oct@ Bendel Insurance1–2L
18 Octvs Barau FC0–0D
11 Oct@ Abia Warriors0–0D
4 Octvs Ikorodu City2–0W
30 Sep@ Katsina United1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Feb 2026Kwara United v Rivers United1–1

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kwara United vs Rivers United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 85% chance.

Who will win Kwara United vs Rivers United?

On our numbers Kwara United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Rivers United 49%.

How many goals will there be in Kwara United vs Rivers United?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

When is Kwara United vs Rivers United?

Kwara United vs Rivers United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kwara Sports Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.