NPFL · Nigeria · Muhammadu Dikko Stadium

Katsina United

DWDLW

16:00Sun 15 Nov 2026

Nasarawa United

WLWWW

Katsina United vs Nasarawa United prediction & analysis

79%

Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26

9/10Rating

–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNasarawa United to win44% · fair 2.27

Double chanceEither team to win87% · fair 1.15

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.86

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.75

Win chances

Katsina United43%fair 2.33

Draw13%fair 7.69

Nasarawa United44%fair 2.27

2.33Expected goals

1.15Katsina United xG

1.18Nasarawa United xG

46%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

0–111%

1–011%

0–010%

1–28%

2–18%

From our goals model: Katsina United 1.2 – 1.2 Nasarawa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Katsina United and Nasarawa United on our numbers – 43% for the home side, 44% for the visitors and 13% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Katsina United have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Nasarawa United have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. Nasarawa United come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Katsina United, 1.2 for Nasarawa United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Katsina United have won 1, Nasarawa United have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 79% chance.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nasarawa United to win	44%	2.27	–
Double chance	Either team to win	87%	1.15	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	79%	1.26	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nasarawa United / FT Nasarawa United	21%	4.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1	11%	8.75	–

Form

Katsina United – last 6

DWDLWD

8 Nov	@ Warri Wolves	1–1	D
1 Nov	vs Sporting Lagos	2–1	W
25 Oct	vs Plateau United	2–2	D
18 Oct	@ Kano Pillars	0–1	L
9 Oct	vs Enyimba	4–2	W
4 Oct	@ Inter Lagos	1–1	D

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Nasarawa United – last 6

WLWWWD

8 Nov	vs Plateau United	3–1	W
1 Nov	@ Kano Pillars	0–2	L
25 Oct	vs Enyimba	1–0	W
18 Oct	@ Inter Lagos	2–0	W
11 Oct	vs Doma United	2–0	W
4 Oct	@ Shooting Stars	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026

Katsina United v Nasarawa United

1–0

NPFL table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	38	19	11	8	+20	68
2	Rivers United	38	19	10	9	+13	67
3	Shooting Stars	38	18	6	14	+1	60
4	Ikorodu City	38	16	10	12	+4	58
5	Nasarawa United	38	16	8	14	+3	56
6	Abia Warriors	38	16	7	15	-3	55
7	Bendel Insurance	37	13	14	10	+5	53
8	Barau FC	38	13	13	12	+4	52
9	Katsina United	37	14	10	13	-2	52
10	Kano Pillars	38	15	6	17	-2	51
11	Plateau United	38	15	5	18	-1	50
12	Kwara United	38	13	11	14	-1	50
13	Enyimba	38	13	10	15	+2	49
14	Kun Khalifat FC	38	13	10	15	-1	49
15	Warri Wolves	38	13	10	15	-5	49
16	Niger Tornadoes	38	13	9	16	+1	48
17	Remo Stars	38	14	5	19	-5	47
18	El Kanemi Warriors	38	13	8	17	-16	47
19	Bayelsa United	38	11	10	17	-5	43
20	Wikki Tourist	38	9	13	16	-12	40

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance.

Who will win Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

On our numbers Katsina United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Nasarawa United 44%.

How many goals will there be in Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

When is Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?

Katsina United vs Nasarawa United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Muhammadu Dikko Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.